Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1117.005653 1266.843859 1433.137916 1632.049417 1864.374382 2128.184216 2451.891363
2025-08-31 890.972694 1089.628760 1330.794581 1647.953591 2058.262067 2576.917002 3291.358963
2025-09-07 774.675475 995.459130 1279.943547 1679.019714 2233.501093 2990.436550 4126.245143
2025-09-14 665.749547 887.814187 1187.135461 1628.410619 2276.799271 3218.078412 4733.003595
2025-09-21 583.695518 802.586508 1108.887904 1579.763019 2305.561614 3417.121315 5320.855267
2025-09-28 516.039273 728.158249 1034.587390 1522.942071 2307.746686 3567.901456 5850.361948
2025-10-05 488.988835 708.635332 1036.585628 1579.354132 2491.075340 4031.470371 6997.869612
2025-10-12 458.481595 680.065265 1020.627802 1603.467946 2622.173073 4424.933275 8099.372802
2025-10-19 429.111688 649.929224 998.292595 1612.944468 2727.256490 4786.234690 9214.880722
2025-10-26 403.032382 622.288267 976.651333 1619.954796 2827.142934 5151.640381 10419.258217
2025-11-02 386.959449 609.220677 977.378748 1665.537166 3003.872630 5694.740665 12141.177221
2025-11-09 370.499038 593.863716 972.358495 1699.386657 3161.728838 6225.652889 13972.090121
2025-11-16 353.047310 575.821051 961.766283 1723.210377 3306.740660 6764.582264 16000.246181
2025-11-23 335.517581 556.224408 946.638838 1736.695978 3433.046230 7288.468256 18157.405719
2025-11-30 322.339082 543.138780 941.953246 1769.943286 3606.506797 7956.248494 20932.002646
2025-12-07 299.267348 510.282660 897.292146 1716.082905 3576.657609 8121.723329 22276.703410
2025-12-14 278.632753 480.406638 855.814037 1664.338420 3544.261520 8274.809772 23636.146775
2025-12-21 258.826878 450.722081 812.379839 1603.922123 3483.149237 8342.091511 24743.163999
2025-12-28 253.958368 448.923720 823.590941 1663.903545 3723.665919 9277.742066 29199.136598
2026-01-04 245.720693 440.002401 819.686434 1689.550443 3882.312846 10019.276133 33270.639541
2026-01-11 236.505772 428.500387 809.515040 1699.630637 4002.327428 10675.052461 37304.942512
2026-01-18 227.683730 417.161763 798.743636 1707.087963 4116.700374 11341.048361 41700.476815
2026-01-25 223.065480 413.938272 804.821620 1755.585551 4352.046432 12452.491803 48647.087644